IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Holy Cross
Patriot League
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-9.0	#312
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	61.3	#335
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-5.9	#323

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.1	#259

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.6%	10.5%	1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.3	15.0	15.3

.500 or above	9.6%	41.1%	9.5%
.500 or above in Conference	16.7%	47.9%	16.6%
Conference Champion	1.2%	6.8%	1.2%
Last Place in Conference	39.3%	14.4%	39.4%

First Four	0.6%	2.1%	0.6%
First Round	1.3%	8.4%	1.3%
Second Round	0.1%	0.0%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Maryland (Away) - 0.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 4
Quad 3	2 - 9	2 - 13
Quad 4	7 - 9	9 - 22

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 05, 2019	9	@ Maryland	L	51-80	0.3%
Nov 09, 2019	334	@ New Hampshire	L	60-61	48%
Nov 12, 2019	288	Fairfield	W	66-65	54%
Nov 19, 2019	130	Northeastern	L	62-70	24%
Nov 22, 2019	69	Harvard	L	59-73	11%
Nov 29, 2019	163	@ Florida Atlantic	L	59-71	14%
Dec 01, 2019	148	Hofstra	L	64-74	20%
Dec 07, 2019	164	@ San Diego	L	58-70	15%
Dec 14, 2019	295	@ Canisius	L	65-69	35%
Dec 22, 2019	249	Sacred Heart	L	71-72	46%
Dec 29, 2019	251	@ Siena	L	55-62	28%
Jan 02, 2020	209	@ Loyola Maryland	L	64-73	22%
Jan 05, 2020	267	Navy	L	64-65	49%
Jan 08, 2020	261	@ Lafayette	L	66-73	29%
Jan 11, 2020	159	@ Bucknell	L	63-75	15%
Jan 15, 2020	244	Army	L	66-67	46%
Jan 18, 2020	184	@ American	L	60-70	19%
Jan 22, 2020	227	Lehigh	L	71-73	42%
Jan 25, 2020	200	Boston University	L	65-68	38%
Jan 29, 2020	267	@ Navy	L	61-67	30%
Feb 01, 2020	127	Colgate	L	63-71	24%
Feb 05, 2020	209	Loyola Maryland	L	67-70	40%
Feb 08, 2020	200	@ Boston University	L	62-71	22%
Feb 12, 2020	227	@ Lehigh	L	68-76	25%
Feb 15, 2020	261	Lafayette	L	69-70	48%
Feb 17, 2020	159	Bucknell	L	66-72	30%
Feb 23, 2020	127	@ Colgate	L	60-74	11%
Feb 26, 2020	244	@ Army	L	63-70	27%
Feb 29, 2020	184	American	L	63-67	37%
Projected Record						8 - 21	6 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Patriot League Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0		1.2	1st
2nd											0.1	0.4	0.8	0.6	0.2	0.1					2.2	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.1	0.9	1.4	0.8	0.1	0.0						3.3	3rd
4th									0.2	1.4	2.1	0.9	0.1	0.0							4.7	4th
5th							0.0	0.3	2.0	2.8	1.0	0.1	0.0								6.2	5th
6th						0.0	0.5	2.4	3.6	1.4	0.1	0.0									8.1	6th
7th					0.0	0.8	3.3	4.7	2.0	0.1											11.0	7th
8th			0.0	0.2	1.5	4.8	5.6	2.4	0.2	0.0											14.6	8th
9th		0.0	1.0	3.6	6.5	5.8	2.1	0.2	0.0												19.4	9th
10th	2.1	5.3	7.9	8.0	4.5	1.5	0.2	0.0													29.4	10th

Total	2.1	5.3	8.9	11.8	12.5	12.9	11.7	10.1	8.0	5.9	4.2	2.8	1.9	1.1	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0			Total

Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
16-2	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
15-3	82.2%	0.2		0.2	0.1
14-4	66.5%	0.3		0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-5	30.6%	0.3		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0
12-6	8.7%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0
11-7	1.5%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%	0.0						0.0
9-9	0.0%

Total	1.2%	1.2		0.6	0.4	0.1	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%																			0.0
17-1	0.0%		47.6%	47.6%		13.5														0.0	0.0			0.0
16-2	0.1%		23.2%	23.2%		13.8												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.1
15-3	0.3%		39.7%	39.7%		14.1														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2
14-4	0.5%		23.3%	23.3%		14.7														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.4
13-5	1.1%		13.1%	13.1%		14.6													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	1.0
12-6	1.9%		11.8%	11.8%		15.3														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	1.7
11-7	2.8%		8.3%	8.3%		15.4															0.0	0.1	0.1	2.6
10-8	4.2%		4.8%	4.8%		15.6															0.0	0.1	0.1	4.0
9-9	5.9%		2.8%	2.8%		15.9																0.0	0.1	5.7
8-10	8.0%		2.1%	2.1%		15.9																0.0	0.2	7.8
7-11	10.1%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.1	10.0
6-12	11.7%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	11.7
5-13	12.9%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	12.8
4-14	12.5%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	12.5
3-15	11.8%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	11.8
2-16	8.9%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	8.9
1-17	5.3%																							5.3
0-18	2.1%																							2.1

Total	100%		1.6%	1.6%	0.0%	15.3												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.9	98.4		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.6%